Natural Rationality | decision-making in the economy of nature
Showing posts with label ecological rationality. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ecological rationality. Show all posts

10/10/07

Fairness and Schizophrenia in the Ultimatum

For the first time, a study look at schizophrenic patient behavior in the Ultimatum Game. Other studies of schizophrenic choice behavior revealed that they have difficulty in decisions under ambiguity and uncertainty (Lee et al, 2007), have a slight preference for immediate over long-term rewards, (Heerey et al, 2007), exhibit "strategic stiffness" (sticking to a strategy in sequential decision-making without integrating the outcomes of past choices; Kim et al, 2007), perform worse in the Iowa Gambling Task (Sevy et al. 2007)

A research team from Israel run a Ultimatum experiment with schizophrenic subjects (plus two control group, one depressive, one non-clinical). They had to split 20 New Israeli Shekels (NIS) (about 5 US$). Although schizophrenic patients' Responder behavior was not different from control group, their Proposer behavior was different: they tended to be less strategic.

With respect to offer level, results fall into three categories, fair (10 NIS), unfair (less than 10 NIS), and hyper-fair (more than 10 NIS). Schizophrenic patients tended to make less 'unfair' offer, and more 'hyper-fair' offer. Men were more generous than women.

According to the authors,

for schizophrenic Proposers, the possibility of dividing the money evenly was as reasonable as for healthy Proposers, whereas the option of being hyper-fair appears to be as reasonable as being unfair, in contrast to the pattern for healthy Proposers.
Agay et al. also studied the distribution of Proposers types according to their pattern of sequential decisions (how their second offer compared to their first). They identified three types:
  1. "‘Strong-strategic’ Proposers are those who adjusted their 2nd offer according to the response to their 1st offer, that is, raised their 2nd offer after their 1st one was rejected, or lowered their 2nd offer after their 1st offer was accepted.
  2. Weak-strategic’ Proposers are those who perseverated, that is, their 2nd offer was the same as their 1st offer.
  3. Finally, ‘non-strategic’ Proposers are those who unreasonably reduced their offer after a rejection, or raised their offer after an acceptance."
20% of the schizoprenic group are non-strategic, while none of the healthy subjects are non-strategic.


the highest proportion of non-strategic Proposers is in the schizophrenic group
The authors do not offer much explication for these results:

In the present framework, schizophrenic patients seemed to deal with the cognition-emotion conflict described in the fMRI study of Sanfey et al. (2003) [NOTE: the authors of the first neuroeconomics Ultimatum study] in a manner similar to that of healthy controls. However, it is important to note that the low proportion of rejections throughout the whole experiment makes this conclusion questionable.
Another study, however, shows that "siblings of patients with schizophrenia rejected unfair offers more often compared to control participants." (van ’t Wout et al, 2006, chap. 12), thus suggesting that Responder behavior might be, after all, different in patient with a genetic liability to schizophrenia. Yet another unresolved issue !

Related Posts

Reference
  • Agay, N., Kron, S., Carmel, Z., Mendlovic, S., & Levkovitz, Y. Ultimatum bargaining behavior of people affected by schizophrenia. Psychiatry Research, In Press, Corrected Proof.
  • Hamann, J., Cohen, R., Leucht, S., Busch, R., & Kissling, W. (2007). Shared decision making and long-term outcome in schizophrenia treatment. The Journal of clinical psychiatry, 68(7), 992-7.
  • Heerey, E. A., Robinson, B. M., McMahon, R. P., & Gold, J. M. (2007). Delay discounting in schizophrenia. Cognitive neuropsychiatry, 12(3), 213-21.
  • Hyojin Kim, Daeyeol Lee, Shin, Y., & Jeanyung Chey. (2007). Impaired strategic decision making in schizophrenia. Brain Res.
  • Lee, Y., Kim, Y., Seo, E., Park, O., Jeong, S., Kim, S. H., et al. (2007). Dissociation of emotional decision-making from cognitive decision-making in chronic schizophrenia. Psychiatry research, 152(2-3), 113-20.
  • Mascha van ’t Wout, Ahmet Akdeniz, Rene S. Kahn, Andre Aleman. Vulnerability for schizophrenia and goal-directed behavior: the Ultimatum Game in relatives of patients with schizophrenia. (manuscript), from The nature of emotional abnormalities in schizophrenia: Evidence from patients and high-risk individuals / Mascha van 't Wout, 2006, Proefschrift Universiteit Utrecht.
  • McKay, R., Langdon, R., & Coltheart, M. (2007). Jumping to delusions? Paranoia, probabilistic reasoning, and need for closure. Cognitive neuropsychiatry, 12(4), 362-76.
  • Sevy, S., Burdick, K. E., Visweswaraiah, H., Abdelmessih, S., Lukin, M., Yechiam, E., et al. (2007). Iowa Gambling Task in schizophrenia: A review and new data in patients with schizophrenia and co-occurring cannabis use disorders. Schizophrenia Research, 92(1-3), 74-84.



9/24/07

Natural Rationality for Newbies



Decision-making, as I routinely argue in this blog, must be understood as entrenched in a richer theoretical framework: Darwin’s economy-of-nature. According to this principle, animals could be modeled as economic agents and their control systems could be modeled as economic devices. All living beings are thus deciders, strategists or traders in the economy of reproduction and survival.

When he suggested that nature is an economy, Darwin paved the way for a stronger interaction between biology and economics. One of the consequences of a bio-economic approach is that decision-making becomes an increasingly important topic. The usual, commonsense construal of decision-making suggests that it is inherently tied to human characteristics, language in particular. If that is the case, then talk of animal decisions is merely metaphorical. However, behavioral ecology showed that animals and human behavior is constrained by economic parameters and coherent with the economy-of-nature principle. Neuroeconomics suggest that the neural processing follow the same logic. Dopaminergic systems drive animals to achieve certain goals while affective mechanisms place goals and action in value spaces. These systems, although they were extensively studied in humans, are not peculiar to them: humans display a unique complexity of goals and values, but this complexity relies partly on neural systems shared with many other animals: the nucleus accumbens and the amygdala, for instance are common in mammals. Brainy animals evolved an economic decision-making organ that allows them to cope with complex situations. As Gintis remarks, the complexity and the metabolic cost of central nervous systems co-evolved in vertebrates, which suggests that despite their cost, brains are designed to make adaptive decision[i].

Hence decision-making should be analyzed similarly as, and occupies an intellectual niche analogous to, the concept of cooperation. Nowadays, the evolutionary foundations, neural substrates, psychological mechanisms, formal modeling and philosophical analyses of cooperation constitutes a coherent—although not unified—field of inquiry [ii]. The nature of prosocial behavior, from kin selection to animal cooperation to human morality, is best understood by adopting a naturalistic stances that highlights both the continuity of the phenomenon and the human specificity. Biological decision-making deserves the same eclecticism.

Talking about biological decision-making comes at a certain conceptual price. As many philosophers pointed out, whenever one is describing actions and decisions, one is also presupposing the rationality of the agent[iii]. When we say that agent A chose X, we suppose that A had reasons, preferences, and so on. The default assumption is that preferences and actions are coherent: the firsts caused the seconds, and the seconds are justified by the firsts. The rationality philosophers are referring to, however, is a complex cognitive faculty, that requires language and propositional attitudes such as beliefs and desires. When animals forage their environment, select preys, patches, or mates, no one presupposes that they entertain beliefs or desires. There is nonetheless a presupposition that “much of the structure of the internal mental operations that inform decisions can be viewed as the product of evolution and natural selection”.[iv] Thus, to a certain degree, the neuronal processes concerned with the use of information are effective and efficient, otherwise natural selection would have discarded them. I shall label these presuppositions, and the mechanisms it might reveal, “natural rationality”. Natural rationality is a possibility condition for the concept of biological decision-making and the economy-of-nature principle. One needs to presuppose that there is a natural excellence in the biosphere before studying decisions and constraints.

More than a logical prerequisite, natural rationality concerns the descriptive and normative properties of the mechanisms by which humans and other animals make decisions. Most concepts of rationality take only the descriptive or the normative side, and hence tend to describe cognitive/neuronal processes without concern for their optimality, or state ideal conditions for rational behavior. For instance, while classical economics considers rational-choice theory either as a normative theory or a useful fiction, proponents of bounded rationality or ecological rationality refuse to characterize decision-making as optimization.[v] Others advocate a strong division of labor between normative and descriptive project: Tversky and Kahneman, for instance, concluded from their studies of human bounded rationality that the normative and descriptive accounts of decision-making are two separate projects that “cannot be reconciled”[vi]

The perspective I suggest here is that we should expect an overlap between normative and descriptive theories, and that the existence of this overlap is warranted by natural selection. On the normative side, we should ask what procedures and mechanisms biological agents should follow in order to make effective and efficient decision given all their constraints in the economy of nature. On the descriptive side, we must assess whether a procedure succeeds in achieving goals or, conversely, what goals could a procedure aim at achieving. If there is no overlap between norms and facts, then either norms should be reconceptualized or facts should be scrutinized: it might be the case that norms are unrealistic or that we did not identify the right goal or value.

This accounts contrasts with philosophers (e.g. Dennett or Davidson) who construe rationality as an idealization and researchers who preach the elimination of this concept because of its idealized status (evolutionary psychologists, for instance[vii]). Thus, rationality can be conceived not as an a priori postulate in economy and philosophy, but as an empirical and multidisciplinary research program. Quine once said that “creatures inveterately wrong in their inductions have a pathetic but praiseworthy tendency to die out before reproducing their kind”[viii]. Whether it is true for inductions is still open to debate, but I suggest that it clearly applies to decisions.

Related posts
Notes and references
  • [i] (Gintis, 2007, p. 3)
  • [ii] See for instance how neuroscience, game theory, economic, philosophy, psychology and evolutionary theory interact in (E. Fehr & Fischbacher, 2002; Ernst Fehr & Fischbacher, 2003; Hauser, 2006; Penner et al., 2005).
  • [iii] (Davidson, 1980; Dennett, 1987; Popper, 1994).
  • [iv] (Real, 1994, p. 4)
  • [v] (Chase et al., 1998; Gigerenzer, 2004; Selten, 2001)
  • [vi] (Tversky & Kahneman, 1986, p. s272)
  • [vii][vii] (Cosmides & Tooby, 1994)
  • [viii] (Quine, 1969, p. 126)

References

  • Chase, V. M., Hertwig, R., & Gigerenzer, G. (1998). Visions of Rationality. Trends in Cognitive Science, 2(6), 206-214.
  • Cosmides, L., & Tooby, J. (1994). Better Than Rational: Evolutionary Psychology and the Invisible Hand. The American Economic Review, 84(2), 327-332.
  • Davidson, D. (1980). Essays on Actions and Events. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • Dennett, D. C. (1987). The Intentional Stance. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.
  • Fehr, E., & Fischbacher, U. (2002). Why Social Preferences Matter: The Impact of Non-Selfish Motives on Competition, Cooperation and Incentives. Economic Journal, 112, C1-C33.
  • Fehr, E., & Fischbacher, U. (2003). The Nature of Human Altruism. Nature, 425(6960), 785-791.
  • Gigerenzer, G. (2004). Fast and Frugal Heuristics: The Tools of Bounded Rationality. In D. Koehler & N. Harvey (Eds.), Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making (pp. 62–88). Oxford: Blackwell.
  • Gintis, H. (2007). A Framework for the Unification of the Behavioral Sciences. Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 30(01), 1-16.
  • Hauser, M. D. (2006). Moral Minds : How Nature Designed Our Universal Sense of Right and Wrong. New York: Ecco.
  • Penner, L. A., Dovidio, J. F., Piliavin, J. A., & Schroeder, D. A. (2005). Prosocial Behavior: Multilevel Perspectives. Annual Review of Psychology, 56(1), 365-392.
  • Popper, K. R. (1994). Models, Instruments, and Truth: The Status of the Rationality Principle in the Social Sciences. In The Myth of the Framework. In Defence of Science and Rationality
  • Quine, W. V. O. (1969). Ontological Relativity, and Other Essays. New York,: Columbia University Press.
  • Real, L. A. (1994). Behavioral Mechanisms in Evolutionary Ecology: University of Chicago Press.
  • Selten, R. (2001). What Is Bounded Rationality ? . In G. Gigerenzer & R. Selten (Eds.), Bounded Rationality: The Adaptive Toolbox (pp. 13-36). MIT Press: Cambridge, MA.
  • Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1986). Rational Choice and the Framing of Decisions. The Journal of Business, 59(4), S251-S278.



8/5/07

Greed—for lack of a better word—is not necessarily good: the other Adam Smith and the economics of altruism

In one of the most quoted passage of the Wealth of Nations, Adam Smith argue that economic self-interest leads to collective optima:

It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer or the baker that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest. We address ourselves not to their humanity but to their self-love, and never talk to them of our necessities but of their advantages. Nobody but a beggar chooses to depend chiefly upon the benevolence of their fellow-citizens.
Everybody will remember the famous Gordon Gekko's speech in Oliver Stone's Wall Street (1987):




The point is, ladies and gentlemen, that greed—for lack of a better word—is good. Greed is right. Greed works. Greed clarifies, cuts through, and captures the essence of the evolutionary spirit. Greed, in all of its forms—greed for life, for money, for love, knowledge—has marked the upward surge of mankind.

Things may not be that simple. While the standard Homo Economicus model represents agents as exclusively motivated by their material self-interest, economic theories of fairness put forth the picture of Homo Reciprocans, an agent whose utility function incorporates social parameters (Bowles & Gintis, 2002; see Fehr and Schmidt, 2003, for a review). Economic theories of fairness fall into two categories: outcome-based models and intention-based models. The former explains fairness as the product of players’ aversion to inequity (Bolton and Ockenfels, 2000; Fehr and Schmidt, 1999; see also this post). Players are sensible to the distributive consequences of strategic interactions and prefer resources allocations that reduce inequity: they negatively value a discrepancy between their own payoff and an equitable payoff (whether it’s the mean payoff or another player’s payoff). The latter explains fairness as the product of players’ reciprocation of perceived kindness or unkindness (Rabin, 1993 ; Dufwenberg & Kirchsteiger, 2004).). More than the outcome of an interaction, fairness is motivated by the attributed intention. For instance, in a ultimatum where the proposer’s behavior is restricted to two options (50/50 and 80/20 split), the second option is the most rejected; when the proposer’s options are 20/80 and 80/20, however, the first option is rejected less often (Falk, Fehr & Fischbacher 2003). Decision-makers value differently the same option whether it is perceived as an intention to be fair (valued positively) or not (negatively). Since both parameters appear to be important, many models integrate both intentions and outcomes (Fehr & Schmidt, 2003; Falk & Fischbacher, 2006).
A common feature of these models is the preservation of the optimality assumption: although they all suggest that standard utility function should incorporate different parameters, they do not reject the idea that agents are internally rational: they maximize a non-classical utility function.

Hence it is not surprising that contemporary research is more interested by the "first" Adam Smith, who wrote in the Theory of Moral Sentiments:
How selfish soever man may be supposed, there are evidently some principles in his nature, which interest him in the fortune of others, and render their happiness necessary to him, though he derives nothing from it except the pleasure of seeing it. Of this kind is pity or compassion, the emotion which we feel for the misery of others, when we either see it, or are made to conceive it in a very lively manner. That we often derive sorrow from the sorrow of others, is a matter of fact too obvious to require any instances to prove it; for this sentiment, like all the other original passions of human nature, is by no means confined to the virtuous and humane, though they perhaps may feel it with the most exquisite sensibility. The greatest ruffian, the most hardened violator of the laws of society, is not altogether without it.
In "Adam Smith, Behavioral Economist", Ashraf et al. (2005, The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 19, 131-145) discusses the relevance of Smith for experimental economics. In "The Two Faces of Adam Smith" (Southern Economic Journal, 65, 1-19), another Smith (Vernon) analyses the dual nature of Smith's (Adam) writing.

Finally, (found thanks to Mind Hacks) there is an excellent paper in the last Scientific American on the economics of fairness and other moral sentiments:

Is Greed Good?
Economists are finding that social concerns often trump selfishness in financial decision making, a view that helps to explain why tens of millions of people send money to strangers they find on the Internet
By Christoph Uhlhaas
There will be a conference a conference to commemorate the 250th anniversary of The Theory of Moral Sentiments in 2009 in Oxford (see CFP on PhilEcon website).

References
  • Ashraf, N., Camerer, C. F., & Loewenstein, G. (2005). Adam Smith, Behavioral Economist. The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 19, 131-145.
  • Bolton, G. E., & Ockenfels, A. (2000). ERC: A Theory of Equity, Reciprocity, and Competition. The American Economic Review, 90(1), 166-193.
  • Bowles, S., & Gintis, H. (2002). Behavioural science: Homo reciprocans. Nature, 415(6868), 125-128.
  • Bowles, S., & Gintis, H. (2004). The evolution of strong reciprocity: cooperation in heterogeneous populations. Theoretical Population Biology, 65(1), 17-28.
  • Dufwenberg, M., & Kirchsteiger, G. (2004). A theory of sequential reciprocity. Games and Economic Behavior, 47(2), 268-298.
  • Falk, A., Fehr, E., & Fischbacher, U. (2003). On the Nature of Fair Behavior. Economic Inquiry, 41(1), 20-26.
  • Falk, A., & Fischbacher, U. (2006). A theory of reciprocity. Games and Economic Behavior, 54(2), 293-315.
  • Fehr, E., & Fischbacher, U. (2002). Why social preferences matter: The impact of non-selfish motives on competition, cooperation and incentives. Economic Journal, 112, C1-C33.
  • Fehr, E., Fischbacher, U., & Gachter, S. (2002). Strong reciprocity, human cooperation, and the enforcement of social norms. Human Nature, 13(1), 1-25.
  • Fehr, E., & Rockenbach, B. (2004). Human altruism: economic, neural, and evolutionary perspectives. Curr Opin Neurobiol, 14(6), 784-790.
  • Fehr, E., & Schmidt, K. (2003). Theories of Fairness and Reciprocity – Evidence and Economic Applications. In M. Dewatripont, L. Hansen & S. Turnovsky (Eds.), Advances in Economics and Econometrics - 8th World Congress (pp. 208-257).
  • Fehr, E., & Schmidt, K. M. (1999). A Theory Of Fairness, Competition, and Cooperation. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114(3), 817-868.
  • Rabin, M. (1993). Incorporating Fairness into Game Theory and Economics. The American Economic Review, 83(5), 1281-1302.
  • Smith, V. L. (1998). The Two Faces of Adam Smith. Southern Economic Journal, 65, 1-19.




8/1/07

Salon.com interviews Gigerenzer

Thanks to decisionsciencenews.com, I discovered this article in Salon.com:

Should national security depend on Michael Chertoff's gut?

An interview with Gerd Gigerenzer about his last book Gut Feelings: The Intelligence of the Unconscious. Not sure everything Gigerenzer asserts is true, but the article is worth reading.